UBS analyst: Apple paid $6 billion, agreed to higher royalty per iPhone to end Qualcomm battle

Apple and Qualcomm came to a surprise agreement to end
their legal battle earlier this week. The deal included a one-time payment from
Apple to Qualcomm, though neither company was willing to disclose the
value of the payment. Now, analysts are trying to gauge the details of the
deal.

In a note to
investors today, obtained by CNBC, UBS analyst
Timothy Arcuri said that it is likely Apple paid between $5 billion and $6
billion as part of the settlement. Apple and its suppliers had been withholding
royalty payments from Qualcomm, likely valued somewhere over $7 billion
according to reports.
If the UBS estimate is in the ballpark of being correct, it’s
unclear of how that number compares to what Apple had withheld from Qualcommduring the duration of trial. Both Apple and its suppliers were withholding
royalty payments to the chipmaker, and most recent estimates valued that
withholding at around $7.5 billion.
Furthermore, UBS estimates that Apple will pay Qualcomm between $8
and $9 in patent royalties per iPhone. UBS bases this estimate on Qualcomm’s
revision to its earnings, which included a $2 increase in earnings per share.
Apple had been paying $7.50 to Qualcomm per iPhone sold, so this
is a notable increase for Qualcomm from a royalties standpoint.
With a deal like this, there are many nuances that make it hard to
determine who exactly is the “winner.” For instance, the $8-$9 royalty might
not tell the whole story. Furthermore, because of the deal, Apple gains access to 5G modems for the iPhone –
which is a huge benefit from its point of view.
It’s possible that we will see the effects of this deal in Apple’s
quarterly earnings statement at some point. If so, we should be able to
decipher more about the one-time payment Apple made to Qualcomm.